Market Signals

DeFi has the rails. The next challenge is curating real assets from every market in the world.

DeFi has built mature, proven infrastructure. The next challenge is curating real assets, not just from the US and Europe, but from every market in the world, onto the rails that are already waiting.

· 13 min read

The argument is over. Across the digital-asset industry, the conversation has moved on from whether tokenization is the future of finance to how fast it arrives. The rails are built. The institutions are onchain. The largest asset managers in the world are shipping tokenized product, and mainstream forecasts, from BCG to Ripple, now put tokenized assets somewhere in the trillions within the decade. The question that remains is smaller and far more practical: now that the system works, what runs on it, and from where?

Tokenization has already won the argument

Start with the infrastructure, because that part is genuinely settled. DeFi holds around $160 billion in total value locked, with roughly $54 billion of that in lending markets, the deep end where vaults and curators operate. This is mature plumbing, and serious capital is funding it: this month, one of the largest onchain lending protocols raised $175 million from Paradigm, a16z, VanEck, and Apollo. A decade of “blockchain will change finance” has quietly become “blockchain is now part of finance.”

The flow of real-world assets onto those rails has moved just as decisively. Tokenized real-world assets grew from $5.4 billion at the start of 2025 to roughly $31 billion today, close to a fivefold expansion in fifteen months. The forecasts from the institutions that price these things, BCG, Ripple, McKinsey, now put the market in the hundreds of billions by 2030 and into the trillions by 2033. The direction is settled. The pace is accelerating.

Tokenized real-world asset market trajectory, 2025 through 2033 A line chart showing tokenized real-world asset market growth and forecasts. Actual data: about 5.4 billion dollars in January 2025, growing to approximately 31 billion dollars today, a fivefold expansion in fifteen months. Forecast: approximately 400 billion dollars by 2030 (BCG base case), and into the trillions by 2033 (BCG/Ripple, McKinsey). The line accelerates upward, with the actual portion solid and the forecast portion dashed. Sources: rwa.xyz for actual data; Boston Consulting Group / Ripple; McKinsey for forecasts. The market is going somewhere, fast Tokenized real-world asset market: from billions today, into the trillions by 2033 ACTUAL FORECAST $5.4B ~$31B ~$400B BCG base case trillions BCG · Ripple · McKinsey ~5x in 15 months Jan 2025 Today 2030 2033 Sources: rwa.xyz (actual); Boston Consulting Group / Ripple; McKinsey (forecasts).
A fivefold expansion is already behind us. The credible forecasts say trillions ahead.

That maturity is the precondition for everything that follows. A system that can custody, price, settle, and lend against assets around the clock, with an asset base growing fivefold every fifteen months, is ready to hold far more than it does today. The capability is proven, the trajectory is set, and the conviction is widespread. What the next phase needs is curation, and that is a different kind of problem from the one the industry spent the last decade solving.

The onchain shelf today is thin, and mostly US Treasuries

Look at what actually runs through that system and the picture sharpens fast. The publicly tradable tokenized real-world asset market is about $19 billion, having grown more than 250% in fifteen months. The growth is real. The composition is the problem.

US Treasuries are 67% of that shelf. Gold-backed commodities are another 29%, lifted by the gold rally. Tokenized equities and ETFs together are barely 4%, around $800 million in total. Counting the permissioned private credit that rwa.xyz also tracks, mostly a single category that almost never trades, lifts the headline figure toward $32 billion, but it does not change the shape. The liquid, composable shelf a curator can actually build on is Treasuries, gold, and very little else.

Composition of the publicly tradable tokenized real-world asset market A horizontal bar showing the roughly 19 billion dollar publicly tradable tokenized RWA market by category: US Treasuries 67 percent, about 13 billion dollars; gold and commodities 29 percent, about 5.5 billion dollars; tokenized equities and ETFs about 4 percent, about 0.8 billion dollars. A note adds that counting permissioned private credit lifts the total near 32 billion dollars, and that tokenized equities are about 94 percent US-listed while emerging-market listed equity onchain is essentially zero. Sources CoinGecko 2026 RWA Report and rwa.xyz. What’s actually onchain: Treasuries, gold, little else Publicly tradable tokenized RWAs, ~$19.3B · Source: CoinGecko 2026 RWA Report US Treasuries 67% · ~$13.0B Gold 29% · ~$5.5B Equities & ETFs 4% Counting permissioned private credit (rwa.xyz), the total nears $32B, but that credit rarely trades. The liquid shelf above is what a curator can use. The part that would bring the world’s companies onchain is the smallest. Tokenized equities are ~94% US-listed. Emerging-market listed equity onchain: near zero. The entire RWA market sits under 0.1% of its addressable size. Sources: CoinGecko 2026 RWA Report (Mar 2026); rwa.xyz (2026).
The onchain shelf has grown fast, but it is two products deep. The assets that would make it global are barely present.

There is good reason it started here. Treasuries and gold are the easiest assets to bring onchain: the documentation exists, the pricing is transparent, and the regulatory treatment is settled. They were the right beachhead. But a beachhead is a starting line, and the appetite for onchain yield and diversification now runs well beyond what a Treasury yield and a gold position can satisfy.

Small as the shelf is, the inventory on it is already at work. Ondo Global Markets has put more than 260 US stocks and ETFs onchain since launching last September, crossed $1 billion in TVL, and now sits at over $18 billion in cumulative trading volume. xStocks, run by Kraken and Backed, has put another 100-plus tokenized stocks onchain, drawn over 100,000 holders, and processed roughly $25 billion in cumulative volume in its first months. Together that is several hundred publicly listed US securities, live onchain, trading every day.

And that same inventory is now powering a second market on top of it. Real-world-asset perpetuals went from 0.1% of all onchain derivatives volume in October 2025 to 10.1% by March 2026, with around $525 billion of cumulative volume in Q1 2026 alone, much of it routed through venues like Hyperliquid. The chains have started to depend on these assets, not just hold them. The shelf is small. The use is real, and it is compounding.

The real constraint is curation, and it’s a problem of access

This is the constraint on the next phase, and it pays to be precise about what kind it is. It is a curation problem, not a technology one. The chains are fast enough. The contracts are battle-tested. The custody and compliance tooling is in production. A curator running a vault can express almost any strategy they can design. The limit is that they can only build from the assets that already exist onchain, and today that means crypto, a Treasury yield, and gold. The intelligence of the system has run far ahead of the range of product it has to work with.

Framed that way, the bottleneck comes into focus. It sits upstream of the chain entirely, in origination, structuring, and the editorial judgment of what should be tokenized in the first place, rather than engineering. And it is most acute exactly where the opportunity is largest. The first wave of tokenization reached the assets that already had clean documentation, transparent pricing, and a settled legal home, which is to say the assets of developed markets. The assets that remain are the harder ones: the listed companies, the funds, and the real assets of every market in the world the existing system has not yet reached. For them the obstacle has never been quality. It has been access, and the curation work to bring them in.

Every new asset multiplies what DeFi can build

The reason inventory matters this much comes down to how DeFi creates value in the first place. Composability is its defining feature. Every asset onchain is a building block, and the blocks combine freely. A tokenized note becomes collateral. Collateral becomes a leveraged position. A position becomes a structured yield product a vault can hold and a curator can offer. Nothing has to be rebuilt to connect them; they snap together by design.

That changes the arithmetic of growth. Each new asset multiplies what the system can do, because every new block can be combined with everything already there. A shelf with a handful of building blocks supports a handful of strategies. A shelf with many supports an order of magnitude more. Adding one high-quality, uncorrelated, real-world asset grows the system by far more than one: it grows it by all the new combinations that asset makes possible.

Composability: more assets onchain produce many more possible strategies A diagram comparing two stacks of building blocks. On the left, three asset blocks (stablecoins, crypto, US Treasuries) all connect through a junction to a handful of strategy outcomes. On the right, six asset blocks, with newly added real-world categories such as EM assets, US assets, and EU assets, all connect through a junction to many more strategy outcomes, illustrating that every block combines and that each new asset multiplies the possible combinations. Every asset is a building block More blocks, more strategies · composability is DeFi’s defining feature TODAY Stablecoins Crypto US Treasuries a few strategies WITH MORE REAL-WORLD ASSETS EM assets US assets EU assets US Treasuries Crypto Stablecoins many more strategies Every block composes with every other. Each new asset multiplies the combinations, rather than simply adding to them.
Adding inventory grows the number of things that can be built on top of it, far faster than it grows the shelf itself.

This is why “more assets” is not a vague aspiration. It is the single highest-leverage thing that can happen to onchain finance right now. The vaults, the curators, and the risk engines already exist and stand ready. What they are short of is things to allocate across.

More inventory makes the whole ecosystem stronger

The effect compounds beyond strategy count, because inventory and capital pull on each other. More assets onchain give curators more strategies to build. Better strategies attract more capital and deeper liquidity. Deeper liquidity makes the venue more attractive to the next issuer choosing where to bring an asset, which draws in more inventory still. It is a flywheel, and today it is turning on a fraction of the fuel it could be running on.

The inventory flywheel: how more real-world assets strengthen the whole ecosystem A circular flywheel diagram with four stages connected clockwise. More real-world assets onchain leads to more strategies curators can build, which leads to deeper liquidity and better returns, which attracts more capital and more issuers, which in turn brings still more real-world assets. The cycle reinforces itself. The inventory flywheel Each new asset feeds a cycle that strengthens the whole ecosystem More real-world assets More strategies curators can build Deeper liquidity, better returns More capital and more issuers a self- reinforcing cycle
Inventory and capital pull on each other. The assets that behave differently from what is already onchain spin the wheel fastest.

A Treasury yield, a gold position, and a basket of crypto can only turn that wheel so far, because they move together and offer the system little it does not already have. The assets that accelerate it are the ones that behave differently from everything already onchain: real-world cash flows, uncorrelated returns, exposure to economies the current shelf does not touch. Each one makes the ecosystem deeper, more diversified, and more useful to the allocators it is trying to attract. Growth in inventory is the input that makes all the others compound.

The next assets climb a risk curve, liquid first

The assets the ecosystem needs next arrive in a clear order. They come up a curve. The starting block is already on the shelf: US Treasuries, which give the system a reliable yield floor. The next step up is the rest of the developed-market liquid universe, listed US equities and ETFs, and that step is now happening in real time. Around 360 US stocks and ETFs are already onchain through Ondo and xStocks, with billions of dollars in cumulative volume on each. This is the foothold the market has already proven it can hold.

Further up the curve sit listed equities and funds from emerging economies, the part of the world’s public markets that has almost no onchain presence at all. The tokenized share of EM listed equity is, for practical purposes, zero, which makes it the single largest gap in onchain inventory and the largest near-term opportunity for genuine diversification. Curators can underwrite this tier today; the work to bring it there has not yet been done. Then come private credit and structured private real assets, where yields run in roughly the 8% to 12% range; the work to bring them onchain is materially harder than the listed side, but the structures and the market for them are familiar. Finally, at the top of the curve, sit the highest-yielding private real assets, real estate, infrastructure, and growth credit where yields can run above 20%. This is where the diversification and the returns are richest, and also where the risk is highest and the structuring work is hardest, requiring time, presence, and judgment in markets where a deal lives in a relationship long before it lives in a data room.

The tokenization risk curve, from US Treasuries to higher-yielding private real assets An upward curve plotting yield potential against risk and structuring effort, with five points along it. From low to high: US Treasuries around 4 to 5 percent, here today. Listed US assets, with around 360 already tokenized via Ondo and xStocks. Listed emerging-market equities and funds, with essentially zero tokenized today and the largest off-chain gap. Private credit and real assets around 8 to 12 percent, requiring more structuring. And higher-yielding private real assets above 20 percent, with the highest risk and curation requirements. Indicative asset-class characteristics, not a return offer. Up the curve: liquid first, private next Yield potential vs risk and structuring effort, indicative yield potential → risk & structuring effort → US Treasuries ~4-5%, here today Listed US assets 360+ tokenized via Ondo & xStocks Listed EM equities & funds ~0 tokenized, the largest off-chain gap Private credit & real assets ~8-12%, more structuring required Higher-yielding private 20%+, higher risk & curation Indicative asset-class characteristics, not a return offer. Higher yield comes with higher risk and more structuring.
The shelf gets built in order: the liquid, listed end is already onchain or arriving, the private and higher-yielding end follows as the structuring around it matures.

The sequencing is the point. The ecosystem can absorb liquid, listed assets at scale today, and it will grow into private assets as the rails and the curation around them mature. Liquid first, private as the infrastructure is ready, is the natural order in which the shelf gets built. It is also the order in which yield and diversification climb. The patient version of this market starts with the assets it can hold well and earns its way up the curve.

The endgame is the rest of the world’s assets onchain

Step back and this is what tokenization has promised from the beginning. The phrase that keeps getting used for it is Internet Capital Markets: a financial system as open, composable, and global as the internet itself, where an asset from any market can reach capital from any market. The infrastructure for that now exists. The curation, sourcing, and structuring that fills it is what’s waiting.

And the assets that matter most are the ones the existing system has yet to reach. The first wave of tokenization brought Wall Street onchain: US Treasuries, US funds, US gold. The version worth building brings every other market with it, the listed companies, the funds, and the real assets of the emerging economies that have always sat outside global capital markets. They sat outside for want of access, not for want of value. A financial internet that carries only Wall Street’s assets is, in the end, just an intranet with better marketing.

That is the curation side of tokenization, and it is the harder half of the problem. It is the half T-Blocks works on: bringing structured real-world assets from emerging economies onchain, starting with the listed and scaling toward the private, building the origination and curation layer the next phase of this market will run on. The rails are finished. The challenge now is filling them, market by market, with the assets that belong there and have yet to arrive.

Sources & references

  1. Total DeFi TVL around $160B; lending category ~$54B; Morpho ~$10B in deposits. DeFiLlama, June 2026.
  2. A leading onchain lending protocol raised $175M, backed by Paradigm, a16z, VanEck, Apollo, and others. DeFiLlama; Morpho Association, June 2026.
  3. Publicly tradable tokenized RWAs ~$19.3B: US Treasuries 67% (~$13.0B), commodities 29% (~$5.55B), equities and ETFs ~4% (~$0.8B); +256.7% over fifteen months. CoinGecko 2026 RWA Report (Mar 31, 2026).
  4. Counting permissioned private credit, total tokenized RWA nears $32B; ~776K holders. rwa.xyz, 2026.
  5. Tokenized equities ~94% reference US-listed securities; emerging-market listed equity onchain is near zero; the RWA market is under 0.1% of its addressable size (global listed equity ~$129T). CoinGecko; market analyses; rwa.xyz, 2026.
  6. Tokenized assets projected into the trillions within the decade (~$18-19T by 2033 base case). Boston Consulting Group / Ripple; McKinsey.
  7. Curated-vault model and curator ecosystem (Morpho, Steakhouse, Gauntlet, RockawayX, Sky, with institutions such as Bitwise and Apollo participating). DeFiLlama; protocol disclosures, 2026.

Footnotes

  1. TVL. Total Value Locked. The value of assets deposited in a protocol’s smart contracts. DeFiLlama counts only locked collateral, not cycled or borrowed amounts, to avoid inflating the figure.
  2. RWA. Real-world assets. Traditional financial instruments and physical assets, such as bonds, equities, credit, commodities, and real estate, brought onto blockchain rails through tokenization.
  3. Vault. An onchain pooled structure where a curator allocates depositor capital across markets to generate yield, while depositors keep custody through their vault tokens.
  4. Curator. The party that sets a vault’s risk parameters and allocations. A curator can reallocate capital but cannot withdraw depositor funds.
  5. Permissioned. An asset or market open only to approved, allow-listed participants, rather than to anyone onchain. Permissioned assets rarely trade in open secondary markets.